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The Last Days of Davos
The Universe Davos built, or claimed to, is coming apart. Step lively boys.
Jan 24, 20244 min read


Javier Milei's Warning at Davos
Strange hair, but the Javier Milei's makes some solid points on socialism v capitalism. And he'd know.
Jan 22, 20245 min read


Confidence Trick
The US is in a Costanza economy - and will stay there as long as this strange confidence keeps up.
Jan 5, 20242 min read


A Year of Living Dangerously
Argentina will be 2024's most interesting story not involving war. But it does have cloned Mastiffs.
Dec 27, 20232 min read

A Hard Landing for the US and China?
The world's two largest economies operating on different cycles has been a good thing for the global economy.
Dec 1, 20233 min read


The Oilmen are Back... for Now
Lifting sanctions on Venezuelan oil will do the country a world of good if its president can behave himself. He can’t.
Nov 13, 20232 min read


Oil Prices: The Gaza Ringer
No one with a soul wants to ask what the Israel/Hamas conflict is going to cost them, but someone is asking it.
Nov 8, 20232 min read


Don't Look Down: US Recession in 2024?
The US economy is looking at a recession in 2024 - that isn't going to do Biden, or the world, any favors.
Nov 6, 20233 min read


Bletchley Park, AI & Known Unknowns
The AI Safety Summit this week is a good idea, but an workable AI solution requires knowing what the problem is.
Oct 31, 20233 min read


Four or Five Grim Horsemen
Joe Biden is showing his support for the UAW strike and announcing that he literally can't put two and two together.
Sep 26, 20233 min read


A Paper Dragon
Peak China happened before the covid lockdowns, can it ever get its fung shui back?
Sep 14, 20234 min read


Another BRIC in the Wall
What can we expect from the BRICS expansion? Not much other than a new name.
Aug 31, 20233 min read


Russia Won't Attack NATO, but It Might Starve Africa
Russia's Energy Weapon didn't work against NATO, its weaponized grain prices may work on Africa.
Aug 1, 20233 min read


That Big Dollar Smile
The dollar may be off, but it isn't that off. And why the late dip is just the pouty part of a big, American grin
Jul 25, 20233 min read


Price Volatility Makes Bad Voodoo
Price volatility is bad voodoo for the economy's upbeat mojo.
Jul 17, 20233 min read


What's with the Groovy Oil Prices?
Energy demand is at a global high, OPEC+ has wildly cut production, and 20% of the supply is under sanctions - so what's up with oil prices?
Jul 6, 20233 min read


The Chinese Take-Away
China's economy has peaked, what are the take-aways for the US and it's industrial policy?
May 31, 20233 min read


The Doomsday Book
What will happen with a US default? Hard to say, but some of the damage is already done.
May 17, 20234 min read


Guesswork, Almost.
Banking scares go both ways - as deposits and credit disappears. The panic was the sound of something breaking.
Mar 23, 20232 min read


Nine Month Delivery
After a strong start to the year, investors are hopeful for a rousing 2023. Beware of desperate exuberance.
Feb 15, 20233 min read
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